Opinion: Will showman Elon pull more rabbits out of his Tesla?

by | Feb 16, 2018 | Launches, Satellites, SpaceX, Technology

Guest writer Morten Pahle gives his views about Elon Musk’s recent stunt on the first flight of the Falcon Heavy and wonders if there is not more to come?

The maiden launch of the Falcon Heavy (aka Falcon 9 Heavy) was a great achievement and has hopefully inspired many young – and possibly some not so young – budding engineers to dream for the stars and take up science and engineering studies. Replacing the traditional heavily instrumented mass dummy with a Tesla roadster demonstrates that the corporate world can still have fun. Adding to that the David Bowie soundtrack, the live cameras, references to Asimov and the Hitchhiker’s Guide to the Galaxy and a plethora of other hidden messages and meanings, inside jokes etc. and the whole project is simply very cool. If the roadster is indeed ever salvaged by an alien intelligence, it will add a dimension and understanding of the human race not quite present on the Voyager Golden Records.

And it also establishes, if it were still necessary – and using the jargon from the Hitchhiker’s series – that Elon is a hoopy frood who really knows where his towel is.

Never look back: Starman in his Tesla Roadstar with the Earth rapidly diminishing behind him. Courtesy: SpaceX

And yet…

After a couple of hours the live camera feed ended and we are made to believe that the roadster, with its Spaceman as well as the entire upper stage of the launcher, will now orbit the sun forever, in an orbit which will take it beyond Mars orbit, returning to the neighbourhood of Earth’s orbit every 17 months. Drifting, inertly, like a random peace of space junk or asteroid. And, by Elon’s standards, that’s just too simple and easy.

The maiden flight of the Falcon Heavy proved several things. Apart from the maiden flight itself, it proved amongst others the quasi simultaneous return of three boosters (two of which were returned intact) and the ability of the upper stage to achieve an interplanetary orbit towards Mars.

What it did not prove was SpaceX ability to manufacture an interplanetary stage which could survive the long drift through interplanetary space and be alive to reignite into a potential Mars orbit insertion. But maybe it might…

In Mars orbit, solar arrays need to be larger than in earth orbit to provide the same power output – a properly aligned array only produces about 40W per square meter. If you do not align the array, but, for instance, mount a fixed array on the conical launch adapter, efficiency drops significantly.  But as the stack rotates, it would still be able to intermittently charge a battery. This, in turn, could be used to give occasional communication capability and potential survival thermal control for some limited avionics. A shaped parabolic reflector would occasionally allow a link to be established back home. The entire assembly would neither be voluminous nor heavy.

The released photos of the Roadster under the fairing do not show anything like this, but that does not mean it was not there. And the wedge shaped structure between the adapter cone and the Roadster can hide a whole host of kit – none of which would have been visible to any of the cameras as they showcased the mesmerising scene of the Roadster speeding past the Earth in interplanetary space.

Would it have been possible to make the Roadster/upper stage capable to do more than it has done? Is there any chance that there is propellant remaining which could be used for a later burn and possibly a simulated Mars Orbit insertion manoeuvre? I could not do it. But I am not Elon Musk. Compared to building the Falcon Heavy, it would almost be easy.

So should we be surprised if, in July this year when the Roadster first intersects Mars orbit, or maybe in November when it reaches Aphelion, we get some more pictures and activity? I would not put it past him.

Morten Pahle is a Space Underwriter at Vivet Limited (Part of the elseco Group)

About Seradata

Seradata produce the renowned Seradata database. Trusted by over 100 of the world’s leading Space organisations, Seradata is a fully queryable database used for market analysis, failure/risk assessment, spectrum analysis and space situational awareness (SSA).

For more information go to https://www.seradata.com/product/

Related Articles

Blue Origin notes nozzle failure as reason for the failure of its NS-23 suborbital flight

Blue Origin has noted the failure mechanism which doomed the unmanned flight New Shepard NS-23 suborbital spacecraft.  After its lift Read more

Starlink Group 5-5 is launched by Falcon 9

The Starlink Group 5-5 (56 satellites) was made by a Falcon 9v1.2FT Block 5 from Cape Canaveral, Floriday, USA, at Read more

Electron rocket launches Blacksky Global 19 and 21

At 0914 GMT on 24 March 2023, Rocket Lab successfully launched their Electron KS rocket (in reusable waterproofed trim to Read more

Russia launches Bars-M 4 electro-optical area surveillance satellite using Soyuz 2-1a

On 23 March 2023 at 0640 GMT a Soyuz 2-1a rocket successfully launched what is believed to be the Bars-M Read more

Relativity Space’s Terran 1 fails on maiden flight – but first stage works well

The maiden launch of the Terran 1 rocket built by Relativity Space suffered an ignition anomaly with its second stage Read more

Italian government gives Vega C vote of confidence with a three-launch order for its IRIDE constellation

Arianespace has won a contract for up to three Vega C launches for the IRIDE, the Italian government's Earth observation Read more

China launches four meteorology satellites to LEO, part of Tianmu-1 fleet

At 0909 GMT on 22 March, a Kuaizhou-1A rocket built by CASIC affiliate ExPace Technology Corp carried four meteorological microsatellites Read more

Falcon 9 makes two launches on 17 March: for Starlink Group 2-8 and SES-18 and SES-19 respectively…but recently launched Starlink Group 6-1 appears to be sinking

SpaceX successfully launched a Falcon 9 from Vandenberg, California, USA at 1926 GMT on 17 March 2023. The vehicle was Read more

Categories

Archives

Tags

nasaspacexecoreviewsissesaArianespacevideochina25virgin galacticfalcon 9ULARoscosmosDGAaviation weekaressoyuzIGTevaFalcon 9v1.2FT Block 5spacewalkBeidouawardsInternational Space StationspaceSatellite broadcastingBlue OriginrussiamoonStarlinkCargo Return VehicleresearchboeingmarsblogAirbus DSRocket LaborionOneWebISROimpacthyperbolamarsdelayjaxaspaceshiptwodemocratgoogle lunar prizerocketlunarhypertextobamaEutelsatlaunchVegatourismconstellationbarack obamafiguresSESnorthspaceflightnode 2fundedRaymond Lygothales alenia spaceIntelsat2009romeAtlas VExpress MD-2dassault aviationss2Elon MuskaviationLucy2008wk2Lockheed Martinukradiotestmissilesuborbitaldocking portexplorationsstlVirgin OrbitinternetChina Manned Space Engineeringsts-122Ariane 5 ECASLSmissile defensenewspapercotsgalileospace tourismflight2010Ariane 5Express AMU 1spaceportbuildspace stationaltairElectronshuttleProton Minternational astronautical congressNorthrop GrummanIntelsat 23Cosmosscaled compositesEuropean Space AgencyLauncherOnehanleybudgetrulesnew yorksoyuz 2-1aLong March 2D/2shenzhouAriane 6atvspace shuttleVietnamLong March 4CcongressMojaveboldenOrbital ATKiacGuiana Space Centercnesnew shepardLong March 2CUK Space AgencyksclawsSpace Systems/LoralprotonUS Air ForceILSInmarsatLong March 4BTalulah RileyApollodarpaeuSkylonAstriumlanderdragonbaseusaastronautpictureeventSSLfivelunar landerfalconSea LaunchWednesdayinterview50thSNCAprilVega CKuaizhou 1ASpace InsuranceTelesat7customeratlantisLong Marchlinksuccessorgriffin